Mittwoch, 21. November 2018

Back to normality -A report from the Frankfurt European Banking Congress- by Thomas Seidel

The Alte Oper as venue of the European Banking Congress
There were more policemen than protesters at the location
(Source: Thomas Seidel)


For a whole week, bankers from all over Europe have been meeting and exchanging views on various topics in the financial sector. The motto was: "Back to normality". Last Friday, the closing event took place at the Alte Oper in Frankfurt. A very small group of protesters in front of the meeting place made the lack of excitement about finance business clear. Inside, there was also a lack of ideas.

Europe, according to Christian Sewing of Deutsche Bank in his opening speech, is playing with its future. The European Union, unlike the United States with its large domestic market, is still too fragmented. There are about 27 markets with e.g. different consumer protection rules. Sewing claimed to have an European agenda again. Alternatives to American and Chinese technology platforms must be developed. At the same time, one must remain attractive for young people, both in terms of wages and opportunities for entrepreneurship. All this, however, presupposes a larger single European market.

Christian Sewing CEO Deutsche Bank
(Source: Thomas Seidel)
Risk Management and Digitalization
In a panel discussion, Sewing focuses on the banks' actual core competence, their ability to manage risk. The banks should also make this ability available to their customers. The banking industry in Europe continues to be the catalyst for economic growth by financing it. Sewing is thus alluding to the dominance of banks in industrial finance in Europe. Sewing demands a new mentality in the financial business, but does not say in which direction the current mentality should change.

Commerzbank CEO Martin Zielke's permanent statement is digitalization. He considers that the banking sector is over-regulated on the one hand, but under-digitalised on the other hand. Today, bankers would have to become technologists. For example, cloud technology in Europe is lagging far behind availability in the USA. In a hazy remark Zielke mentioned people at Commerzbank having a number of good ideas internally. That sounds exciting at first. However, as long as one don't get ideas out there and try to do business with them, such ideas won't remain profitable. Lack of profitability is known to be one of the main problems of the self-proclaimed Mittelstandsbank. According to Zielke, it is not to be expected that the ECB (European Central Bank) will return to a monetary policy like before the financial crisis. This can only mean, that there should again be interest margins with which banks can earn money comfortably without having to be truly innovative.

Mario Draghi's last appearance as President of the European Central Bank at this annual event was insubstantial. He could have saved himself that. The European Central Bank's-metronome had nothing new to say. The economic statements on the overall situation of the economy are well known. The ECB's position and conditions are unlikely to change.

Core competence of the banks
On the other hand, the remarks of Jean Lemierre, the chairman of the supervisory board of the French Banque Nationale de Paris (BNP), who looks only outwardly old-fashioned, seem surprisingly refreshing. He advises for example, to stop dreaming about Anglo-Saxon pension funds in Europe. Europe has a life insurance system. Nevertheless, the banking and capital market union must move closer together. Contrary to Zielke's views, banks are not technology companies. He, like Sewing, sees risk management as the core competence of banks and for that is no need for any special technology. Rather banks should listen to their customers' wishes and meet their needs.

Much has already been achieved since the financial crisis, but Lemierre believes that only half the way has been covered so far. It is clear that new structures have to be created.
Of course, it is still unclear how the markets will realign themselves because of Brexit. An important problem that has not yet been solved, is the ongoing fragmentation of liquidity. The monetary policy of the central bank is made for the productive industry and not for the banks. It is already clear that banks will lose a sense of risk because of the large amount of liquidity.

Mario Draghi President  of the European Central Bank
(Source: Thomas Seidel)
Technology for the future
A second panel discussion focused on technology in the financial sector. The audience was asked for example, what concrete benefits crypto-currencies would have to them. As it turns out, none benefit is expected to be available for the time being. This is precisely the reason why crypto-currencies are not developing on a broad scale. There is no added value for consumers and companies when using them. It becomes clear what the financial sector really needs are standardized processes, that make business processing effective and affordable. What just few people know, is that standards for bank procesing have existed since the 1970s, but in almost 50 years the financial industry has not managed to take advantage of these opportunities. To dream today that in the future processes, such as the very cost-intensive processing of securities- transactions, could be simplified very soon with blockchain technology is not helpful for the industry.

The five-day Euro Finance Week is a mammoth event for the financial sector, which of course has to consider a new content concept. Its declining importance can be seen in the decreasing number of sponsors. At least the most prominent representatives of the industry, who traditionally speak on the last day, have not really had anything new to say in recent years. This reflects the general political paralysis in Europe. Germany has had a torturous year of government, the end of which is not yet in sight. The Brexit is imminent and one has no idea how it will end. 2019 will be a year for many changes in leadership in Europe. In the meantime one cannot see anymore one or the other faces of the official decision-makers. Either there will be a storm blowing a fresh wind through Europe, or the old continent will choke on its muff from rotting compromises.